Will $20 Billion Ever Reach Pakistan’s Poor?

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Asem Mustafa Awan

Islamabad: Pakistan, teetering under the weight of economic despair, recently received news of a $20 billion loan extension from the World Bank. While some view this as a lifeline, others see it as yet another futile effort in a country plagued by corruption, elite capture, and systemic inefficiencies.

The pressing question remains: Will this aid ever benefit the impoverished majority, or will it be siphoned off by the powerful elite?

Decades of mismanagement have transformed Pakistan into a graveyard of development projects. Loans secured in the name of public welfare rarely trickle down to the common citizen. Instead, these funds often enrich a small, powerful elite who perpetuate a cycle of inequality and neglect.

This elite capture has left over half the population living below the poverty line, a figure far understated in official statistics.

The health sector offers a glaring example of this dysfunction. Pakistan has the highest global burden of Hepatitis C, with over 80% of patients worldwide residing in the country. The root cause? Contaminated and fecal-laden water supplies that have been ignored for decades.

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Despite billions allocated for clean water initiatives, the funds have vanished, leaving the public to bear the brunt of these failures.

Similarly, the education sector fares no better. With millions of children out of school and public institutions in disrepair, Pakistan’s future workforce faces a grim reality.

The funds ostensibly meant to improve these systems are often redirected or squandered, ensuring the status quo remains unchallenged. This negligence perpetuates a cycle of poverty and illiteracy that no amount of foreign aid can easily break.

The food security crisis paints an equally bleak picture. Over 10 million children suffer from stunted growth due to malnutrition, and 17.7% of young children face wasting—an emergency threshold by international standards. Eight out of ten children lack access to a nutritious diet, with more than half deficient in essential vitamins.

Pakistan ranks 109th out of 127 countries in the 2024 Global Hunger Index, signaling a serious hunger crisis. The recent floods have exacerbated this, with over 2 million children in affected areas suffering from acute malnutrition.

Despite these dire statistics, successive governments have done little to address the root causes of these crises. Corruption scandals such as the Panama Papers, Swiss Bank accounts, and Dubai Leaks reveal the vast sums of wealth amassed by the elite.

These funds, if recovered, could pay off the national debt several times over. Yet, no meaningful action has been taken to hold these individuals accountable. The impunity enjoyed by the powerful underscores the systemic rot within Pakistan’s governance structures.

The World Bank’s $20 billion loan extension comes with promises of reform and oversight, but skepticism abounds. Critics argue that without stringent checks and balances, this money is likely to meet the same fate as previous aid packages.

Funds intended for public welfare often vanish into the labyrinth of bureaucratic inefficiency and corruption, leaving the intended beneficiaries empty-handed.

The loan also raises questions about Pakistan’s fiscal responsibility. With a history of defaulting on debt payments and relying heavily on external aid, the country has failed to implement long-term economic reforms.

The agricultural sector, once the backbone of Pakistan’s economy, is in shambles. Wheat production has plummeted, and the nation now faces a serious food crisis. Without addressing these structural issues, no amount of foreign aid can ensure sustainable development.

Internationally, the decision to extend the loan reflects the global community’s acknowledgment of Pakistan’s precarious situation.

However, it also highlights the lack of accountability mechanisms in place to ensure that aid reaches its intended recipients. Donor agencies must insist on transparency and effective governance to prevent the misuse of funds.

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Pakistan’s reliance on foreign aid also raises moral questions. How long can the international community continue to prop up a system that enables corruption and inequality? The focus must shift toward empowering local communities, building institutional capacity, and fostering self-reliance.

Programs that involve grassroots participation and community-led development have shown promise in addressing systemic issues at their root.

The elite capture of resources extends beyond financial aid. Political power in Pakistan remains concentrated in the hands of a few families, ensuring that policymaking serves their interests rather than the public good.

Land reforms, a critical issue for equitable development, have been consistently blocked by these powerful groups. Similarly, tax evasion by the wealthy further exacerbates income inequality and deprives the state of resources needed for public welfare.

The ordinary citizens of Pakistan are left to bear the burden of this systemic failure.

Families struggling with malnutrition, inadequate healthcare, and a lack of educational opportunities find little solace in the promises of foreign aid. For them, each day is a fight for survival, with no end in sight.

To break this cycle, Pakistan must undertake comprehensive reforms that prioritize the needs of its citizens over the interests of the elite. This includes improving transparency in governance, strengthening anti-corruption institutions, and ensuring that public funds are used for their intended purposes.

International donors, too, have a role to play. By demanding greater accountability and tying aid

to measurable outcomes, they can help ensure that their contributions make a tangible difference.

The $20 billion loan extension is a moment of reckoning for Pakistan. It is an opportunity to address decades of mismanagement and build a future that prioritizes the well-being of its people.

However, without systemic change, this aid risks becoming just another entry in the long list of missed opportunities.

The question remains: Will Pakistan’s leaders rise to the occasion, or will this loan, like so many before it, disappear into the abyss of corruption and inefficiency? The answer will determine not only the fate of this $20 billion but also the future of a nation desperate for change.

The article is the writer’s opinion, it may or may not adhere to the organization’s editorial policy.

Asem Mustafa Awan has extensive reporting experience with leading national and international media organizations. He has also contributed to reference books such as the Alpine Journal and the American Alpine Journal, among other international publications.

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